Working Papers

Recent

“Granger Predictability of Oil Prices after the Great Recession”,2019,  with Szilard Benk, International Monetary Fund Working Paper WP/19/237, November 1. IMF WP/19/237; now forthcoming at Journal of International Money and Finance: Free Download for 50 days

“International Business Cycle and Financial Intermediation”, accepted, Journal of Money, Banking and Credit, forthcoming; with Tamas Csabafi and Ruthira Naraidoo; IEHAS Discussion Papers 1830, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Sciences; CEU Working Papers 2018_7, Department of Economics, Central European University; Working Papers 1015, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.

“The Welfare Cost of Inflation with Banking Time”, accepted, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics: Advances, forthcoming; Working Papers 1014, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics; CEU Working Papers 2018_6, Department of Economics, Central European University; IEHAS Discussion Papers 1831, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Sciences.

“Nominal Interest Rates and Inflation Rate Inversion: Bank Shocks and the Great Recession”, Tamas Csabafi, Ceri Davies, Max Gillman, Michal Kejak, revise and resubmit, Western Economic Association.

“Granger-causality of real oil prices after the Great Recession”, 2019, with Szilard Benk; University of Missouri – St. Louis Economics Working Paper 1016.

“Explaining Real Business Cycles with Human Capital Investment,” Szilard Benk, Tamas Csaba…fi, Jing Dang, Max Gillman, Michal Kejak, Under Revision for Submission; “Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra,” 2017 Meeting Papers 575, Society for Economic Dynamics; International Monetary Fund Working Paper 16/215, Washington, D.C., November 10;

Other Work

“A Human Capital Theory of Structural Transformation”, revised from, Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/4, March.

“Stoper-Samuelson and Rybczynski Duality in an Endogenous Growth RBC Model”, with Tamas Csabafi”, mimeo, University of Missouri – St. Louis.

“Growth cycles: Theory and evidence of determinants of the output growth rate,” with Tamas Csabafi, Yiumen Tse, Mark Harris, Laszlo Matyas.

“A Canonical Model of AS-AD: from Macro’s Last Configuration”, Max Gillman and David Rose; revision of: Gillman, Max, 2012. “AS-AD in the Standard Dynamic Neoclassical Model: Business Cycles and Growth Trends,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2012/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

“Financial Intermediation with Ehrlich-Becker Arrow-Debreu Securities and Systemic Risk”, with Ruthira Naraidoo and Peng Zhou; revised from “Financial Intermediation Transfers Across States of Nature and Intertemporally: with Application to Banking Crisis 2007-2010,” by Max Gillman, manuscript Cardiff U., 12 November 2010.

“Volatility Cycles of Output and Inflation: A Good Shock, Bad Shock Story”, with Szilárd Benk and Michal Kejak; presented AEA Meetings; SED Meetings; Bank of England.

Gillman, M., Kejak, M., Valentinyi A., 1999, “Inflation, Growth, and Credit Services”. Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Transition Economics Series No. 13. Paper Here

REPEC LISTING

  1. Szilard Benk & Max Gillman, 2019. “Granger Predictability of Oil prices after the Great Recession,” Working Papers 1016, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.
  2. Max Gillman, 2018. “The Welfare Cost of Inlation with Banking Time,” CEU Working Papers 2018_6, Department of Economics, Central European University.
  3. Szilard Benk & Tamas Csabafi & Jing Dang & Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2016. “Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra,” IMF Working Papers 16/215, International Monetary Fund.
  4. Tamas Csabafi & Max Gillman & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2016. “International Business Cycle and Financial Intermediation,” Working Papers 201687, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  5. Giulia Ghiani & Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2016. “Persistent Liquidity,” Working Papers 1010, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.
  6. Ceri Davies & Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2016. “Interest Rates Rules,” Working Papers 1009, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.
  7. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakos, 2014. “Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications for Consumptions and Asset Prices,” CEU Working Papers 2014_2, Department of Economics, Central European University.
  8. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Giulia Ghiani, 2014. “Money, Banking and Interest Rates: Monetary Policy Regimes with Markov-Switching VECM Evidence,” CEU Working Papers 2014_3, Department of Economics, Central European University.
  9. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakos, 2014. “Learning about Disaster Risk: Joint Implications for Consumption and Asset Prices,” CERGE-EI Working Papers wp507, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education – Economics Institute, Prague.
  10. William H.Greene & Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer, 2013. “The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) model with an application to monetary policy,” Discussion Paper Series 2013_10, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Sep 2013.
  11. Max Gillman, 2013. “Lost in Translation: Unified Consumption Theory, Dynamic AS-AD, and Business Cycles,” IEHAS Discussion Papers 1305, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  12. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2013. “Tax Evasion, Human Capital, and Productivity Induced Tax Rate Reduction,” Working Papers 1001, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.
  13. Davies, Ceri & Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2012. “Deriving the Taylor Principle when the Central Bank Supplies Money,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2012/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  14. Gillman, Max, 2012. “AS-AD in the Standard Dynamic Neoclassical Model: Business Cycles and Growth Trends,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2012/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  15. Dang, Jing & Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2011. “Real Business Cycles with a Human Capital Investment Sector and Endogenous Growth: Persistence, Volatility and Labor Puzzles,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  16. Gillman, Max, 2011. “A Simple Theory of Structural Transformation,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/4, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised May 2011.
  17. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2009. “Inflation, Investment and Growth: a Money and Banking Approach,” IEHAS Discussion Papers 0911, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  18. Benk, Szilárd & Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2009. “A Banking Explanation of the US Velocity of Money: 1919-2004,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2009/25, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  19. Basu, Parantap & Gillman, Max & Pearlman, Joseph, 2009. “Inflation, Human Capital and Tobin’s q,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2009/16, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  20. Max Gillman & Charles Nolan, 2008. “ The Optimum Quantity of Money with Gold Reserves,” CDMA Conference Paper Series 0804, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
  21. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2008. “Tax Evasion and Growth: a Banking Approach,” IEHAS Discussion Papers 0806, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  22. Michal Kejak & Max Gillman & Szilard Benk, 2008. “Volatility Cycles of Output and Inflation: A Good Shock, Bad Shock Story,” 2008 Meeting Papers 415, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  23. Gillman, Max & Nakov, Anton, 2008. “Monetary Effects on Nominal Oil Prices,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Nov 2009.
  24. Azacis, Helmuts & Gillman, Max, 2008. “Baltic Tax Reform,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Oct 2008.
  25. Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2008. “Inflation, Investment and Growth: a Banking Approach,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/18, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Oct 2008.
  26. Gillman, Max & Harris, Mark N., 2008. “The Effect of Inflation on Growth: Evidence from a Panel of Transition Countries,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/25, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  27. Benk, Szilárd & Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2008. “US Volatility Cycles of Output and Inflation, 1919-2004: A Money and Banking Approach to a Puzzle,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/28, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  28. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2007. “ Inflation, Financial Development and Human Capital-Based Endogenous Growth: an Explanation of Ten Empirical Findings,” CDMA Conference Paper Series 0703, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
  29. Max Gillman & Mark N Harris & Michal Kejak, 2007. “The Interaction of Inflation and Financial Development with Endogenous Growth,” Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 29, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  30. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Gillman, Max & Minford, Patrick, 2007. “An Endogenous Taylor Condition in an Endogenous Growth Monetary Policy Model,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2007/29, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  31. Szilárd Benk & Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2006. “ Money Velocity in an Endogenous Growth Business Cycle with Credit Shocks,” CDMA Conference Paper Series 0604, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
  32. Gillman, Max & Otto, Glen, 2006. “Money Demand in General Equilibrium Endogenous Growth: Estimating the Role of a Variable Interest Elasticity,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2006/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Oct 2006.
  33. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2006. “Accounting for Corruption: Taxes, the Shadow Economy, Endogenous Growth and Inflation,” 2006 Meeting Papers 402, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  34. R. Anton Braun & Max Gillman, 2006. “Banking in General Equilibrium with an Application to Japan,” CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-412, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  35. Benk, Szilárd & Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2005. “Credit Shocks in the Financial Deregulatory Era: Not the Usual Suspects,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  36. Gillman, Max & Cziráky, Dario, 2005. “Money Demand in an EU Accession Country: A VECM Study of Croatia,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  37. Benk, Szilárd & Gillman, Max & Kejak, Michal, 2005. “A Comparison of Exchange Economies within a Monetary Business Cycle,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  38. Gillman, Max & Nakov, Anton, 2005. “Granger Causality of the Inflation-Growth Mirror in Accession Countries,” CEPR Discussion Papers 4845, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  39. Feeny, Simon & Gillman, Max & Harris, Mark N., 2005. “Econometric Accounting of the Australian Corporate Tax Rates: a Firm Panel Example,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/16, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  40. Max Gillman & Mark Harris, 2005. “The Benefits of Low Inflation: Financial Development within an Endogenous Growth Economy,” 2005 Meeting Papers 914, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  41. Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris, 2004. “Inflation, Financial Development and Endogenous Growth,” Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 24/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  42. Michal Kejak & Szilard Benk & Max Gillman, 2004. “Credit Shocks in a Monetary Business Cycle,” 2004 Meeting Papers 133, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  43. Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris, 2004. “Inflation, Financial Development and Growth in Transition Countries,” Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 23/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  44. Dario Cziraky & Max Gillman, 2004. “Inflation and Endogenous Growth in Underground Economies,” wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 50, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
  45. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2004. “Inflation and Balanced-Path Growth with Alternative Payment Mechanisms,” IEHAS Discussion Papers 0402, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  46. Gillman, Max & Otto, Glenn, 2003. “Money demand in a banking time economy,” HWWA Discussion Papers 254, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
  47. Max Gillman & Mark Harris & László Mátyás, 2002. “Inflation and Growth: Some Theory and Evidence,” 10th International Conference on Panel Data, Berlin, July 5-6, 2002 D5-1, International Conferences on Panel Data.
  48. Mark N. Harris & Max Gillman & László Mátyás, 2001. “The Negative Inflation-Growth Effect: Theory and Evidence,” Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2001n12, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  49. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Akos Valentinyi, 2000. “Inflation, Growth, and Credit Services,” CERGE-EI Working Papers wp154, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education – Economics Institute, Prague.
  50. Max Gillman, 1999. “Evaluating Government Policy in Transition Countries,” CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0156, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
  51. Max Gillman, 1999. “On Keynes’s Theory of the Aggregate Price Level in the Treatise: Any Help for Modern Aggregate Analysis?,” CASE-CEU Working Papers 0029, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
  52. Gillman, M, 1997. “A Price-Theoretic Construction of the General Theory,” Papers 97/04, New South Wales – School of Economics.
  53. Gillman, M., 1996. “Optimality of Exchange Credit Restrictions,” Department of Economics – Working Papers Series 519, The University of Melbourne.
  54. Gillman, M., 1996. “Price Stability as Optimal Policy: Costly Nominal Adjustment in General Equilibrium,” Department of Economics – Working Papers Series 516, The University of Melbourne.
  55. Gillman M. & Siklos & P.L.Silver & J.L., 1996. “Money Velocity with Costly Credit,” Department of Economics – Working Papers Series 515, The University of Melbourne.